World Adjusting to New Realities

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The uptick in conflict activities in the last few months is noticeable. While in many places there have been conflicts going on for a while, for example in Sudan, others, that were dormant, have become hot again, for example also Sudan, but Israel, Yemen and more recently Iran and Pakistan as well.

In my view, this is due to the decline of European power¹ and dominance in world affairs. What we see now is the world adjusting and re-calibrating to a new order, in which Europe is not the predominant power setting standards anymore.

Local conflicts are flaring up in several locations, where local or regional powers try to fill in the void left behind after the retreat/collapse of European power.
We can see what Hamas, the Houthis and Iran are doing in this context. They are trying to shift their positions to a more advantageous, influential one.

There are more of these types of conflicts that have been latent for a while, but either been dormant or have simply been ignored by the West. Those cases include conflicts in Africa, in states like Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, Nigeria to name a few.
It is helpful to recall, that most borders in Africa, the Near and Middle East are still basically colonial borders. They have been drawn by outside powers, mostly by France and Great Britain. In most cases, this has been done without regard to the historical and social situations in these regions, and often against the wishes and needs of people living there.
Also keep in mind, that the post World War II world order that was introduced and has been maintained since 1945 by the UN is also a creation of and a tool for the projection of European power.

Of course, some of the conflicts will be resolved peacefully between local parties, but many probably can’t.

And then there is a growing potential for internal conflict in the West itself, notably in the EU and the US – caused primarily by immigration, decline in living standards and dissolution of the current social structures and social contract.
Here, too, some of it can certainly be resolved peacefully, but probably not all.

Interesting times indeed. And as I have evolved in the last ten years from primarily IT architecture and security area of work, to a more application oriented data engineering and scientist role, I am now doing my work mostly in the area of conflict, defense and intelligence analyst – using IT tools – with focus on the area of the former USSR, Near and Middle East and South Asia, with occasional work on Northern Africa.
It seems, I am not going to run out of work anytime soon!

In this context, Europe not only includes Europe (the EU) herself, but also the United States, Canada, Australia/New Zealand, but also Central and South America ↩︎